A/B testing articles

• NEW Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations (arXiv)
• Likelihood-ratio inference on differences in quantiles (arXiv)
• Formulas for Bootstrapping Sample Medians
• You Can’t Spell CUPED Without Frisch-Waugh-Lovell
• Simple Sequential A/B Testing
• Formulas for Bayesian A/B Testing
• The Low Base Rate Problem
• A/B Testing Duration Data
• Lazy Assignment and A/B Testing
• Announcing Evan’s Awesome A/B Tools
• Linear Regression For Fun And Profit
• How Not To Run An A/B Test Popular article!

Artificial intelligence

• Attention Is Off By One

Programming notes

• The Floppy Disk of Floating Point
• Why I’m Learning Perl 6
• Type Punning Functions in C
• Elixir RAM and the Template of Doom
• Why I Develop For The Mac
  • Follow-up: Hackers and <canvas>
• Please Offer An Excel Export Option
• Statistical Shortcomings in Standard Math Libraries
• Functional Tests As A Tree Of Continuations

Applied math

• SlowerLogLog
• The Amex EveryDay Bonus: A Stochastic Valuation Model
• Adventure Games and Eigenvalues
• Splatoon’s Ranking System Is Still Broken
• Evaluating Splatoon’s Ranking System
• Inferring Tweet Quality From Retweets
• Statistical Formulas for Programmers
• How To Read an Unlabeled Sales Chart
• Holt-Winters Forecasting Applied to Poisson Processes in Real-Time (pdf)

Non-technical essays

• You Can’t Dig Upwards
• The Mathematical Hacker
• Don’t Kill Math
• The Other Money Problem
• Start-ups and Emotional Debt

Programming language reviews

• Things That Bother Me About Swift
• A Review of Perl 6 (Raku)
• A Taste of Rust
• Four Days of Go
• Swift Impressions
• Why I’m Betting On Julia
• Why I Program In Erlang

Mathematics of user ratings

• Ranking News Items With Upvotes
• Deriving the Reddit Formula
• Ranking Items With Star Ratings
• Bayesian Average Ratings
• How Not To Sort By Average Rating Popular article, 250,000 page views!
• Rank Hotness With Newton’s Law of Cooling

Business notes

• Big Tablets Are Coming
• Escaping The Two-Star Rating Pit
• The Software Scientist
• Apple’s RAM Problem
• Marketing Your Startup Hub
• The Feature Matrix

Unsolicited book prefaces

• Preface to A Lost Lady
• Preface to Brave New World
• Preface to Frankenstein
• Preface to The Time Machine

Big data notes

• Predictive Analytics: What Is It Good For?
• Big Data and the Price-Precision Curve
• In Praise of Small Data

Programming stories

• Fixing a Hole in the F-Distribution
• Winkel Tripel Warping Trouble
• Notes on Rendering 2D Graphics on a Mac
• Premature Optimization and the Rise of Nginx Module Development

Erlang references (old)

• Chicago Boss: A Rough Introduction (pdf)
• The Joy of Erlang
• Write a Template Compiler for Erlang

Nginx references (even older)

• Guide to Nginx Module Development
• Advanced Topics In Nginx Module Development

Desktop Mac applications:

Magic Maps 2 Mapping and analysis

Wizard 2 Got data? Get Wizard

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Evan’s Awesome A/B Tools (home)

• Sample Size Calculator – How many subjects do you need for your experiment?

• A/B Buddy – A sample size calculator for iPhone and iPad

• Chi-Squared Test – Are the conversion rates statistically distinguishable?

• Two-Sample T-Test – Is the difference in means significant?

• Survival Curves Test – Does the hazard rate differ between two groups?

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Evan’s Ultimate Credit Card Calculators

• Amex Blue Cash Cashback Calculator – Is the $95 annual fee worth it?

• Amex EveryDay Bonus Calculator – Spending as a random Poisson process

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Open-source projects I maintain:

• Hecate – The Hex Editor From Hell!
• libxls – Excel (.xls) reader for C/C++
• librdata – R data reader/writer for C/C++
• ReadStat – SAS/SPSS/Stata reader/writer
• ProjCL – Secret map-projection sauce
• TimeFormatStrings – Excel, Unicode, Stata
• DSShortNumberFormatter – An abbreviator

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Stuff that still works:

• Erlang:
  • Chicago Boss – Web framework
  • BossDB – An evented ORM for Erlang
  • ErlyDTL – Django template language
  • Aleppo – Erlang Pre-Processor
  • Jerome – Rich-text processing library
• Nginx:
  • mod_zip – Streaming ZIP archiver
  • mod_circle_gif – Lots of round corners
  • mod_rrd_graph – Pretty pictures

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Project graveyard:

• nginx_upstream_hash (2007–2014)
  A hashing load balancer for Nginx. RIP
• Google Maps Extension (2005–2012)
  Embed and edit Google Maps in your wiki. RIP

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